Nicaragua vs Belize analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
SLV
2 - 1
NIC
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2007 |
GTM
1 - 0
NIC
86%
10%
3%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 0
BLZ
68%
19%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2005 |
GTM
4 - 0
NIC
84%
11%
4%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
HND
5 - 1
NIC
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Belize
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
BLZ
0 - 1
GTM
4%
13%
82%
|
44 | 80 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2007 |
SLV
2 - 1
BLZ
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 0
BLZ
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2005 |
BLZ
0 - 4
HND
2%
9%
89%
|
44 | 86 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
GTM
2 - 0
BLZ
89%
9%
3%
|
45 | 82 | 37 | -1 |