Nicaragua vs Barbados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 2
NIC
42%
25%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
NIC
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
URU
4 - 1
NIC
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 91 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 2
NIC
74%
18%
8%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
TTO
1 - 1
NIC
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BRB
2 - 3
MSR
43%
22%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 2
BRB
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
BRB
0 - 1
CUB
11%
20%
69%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GRD
2 - 2
BRB
69%
18%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GRD
2 - 2
BRB
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |