Nicaragua vs Anguilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
VCT
0 - 2
NIC
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
DOM
1 - 0
NIC
38%
23%
39%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
NIC
0 - 3
DOM
43%
23%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
NIC
0 - 3
USA
8%
17%
75%
|
59 | 89 | 30 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
PAN
2 - 1
NIC
72%
19%
10%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Anguilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
AIA
0 - 5
GUF
6%
13%
81%
|
6 | 55 | 49 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AIA
0 - 4
PRI
5%
14%
81%
|
6 | 45 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GUY
7 - 0
AIA
88%
9%
3%
|
6 | 53 | 47 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
AIA
0 - 3
NIC
11%
18%
71%
|
6 | 50 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
5 - 0
AIA
78%
15%
7%
|
6 | 50 | 44 | 0 |