Niagara Purple vs Monmouth Hawks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niagara Purple
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
MRF
3 - 2
NPE
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NPE
1 - 0
IOG
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
SPP
2 - 0
NPE
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
QPC
2 - 3
NPE
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
NPE
3 - 1
SST
64%
19%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Monmouth Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
MHK
1 - 2
MHC
80%
13%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
QPC
2 - 1
MHK
33%
23%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
MHK
0 - 1
MRF
62%
19%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MHK
4 - 2
CAC
90%
7%
3%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
IOG
0 - 2
MHK
16%
19%
65%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |