Ngaruawahia United vs University of Auckland FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ngaruawahia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
HAW
2 - 2
NGA
75%
14%
11%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ONE
1 - 4
NGA
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
NGA
6 - 4
AUF
12%
15%
72%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +4 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MAP
1 - 3
NGA
52%
21%
28%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 1
NGA
19%
19%
63%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
University of Auckland FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SPE
1 - 3
UAK
51%
21%
28%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TEP
5 - 1
UAK
43%
22%
35%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
UAK
0 - 2
OFC
26%
21%
53%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
TAA
3 - 1
UAK
84%
11%
6%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
UAK
0 - 7
CLA
46%
22%
33%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | -2 |