Liga de Balompié Mexicano Semi-finals
Global 8-3
Neza vs Toros México analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
TOM
2 - 6
NEZ
13%
20%
68%
|
50 | 8 | 42 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
NEZ
2 - 1
TOM
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 8 | 42 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IDN
1 - 2
NEZ
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
NEZ
4 - 2
FCA
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 5 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 1
NEZ
12%
19%
69%
|
50 | 7 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Toros México
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
TOM
2 - 6
NEZ
13%
20%
68%
|
8 | 50 | 42 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
NEZ
2 - 1
TOM
83%
12%
5%
|
8 | 50 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 2
TOM
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TOM
3 - 3
HFC
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 1
NEZ
12%
19%
69%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | 0 |