Neza vs Toros México analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
4º
1º
11
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 15 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 11 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 4 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 3 |
9º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IDN
1 - 2
NEZ
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
NEZ
4 - 2
FCA
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 5 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 1
NEZ
12%
19%
69%
|
50 | 7 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NEZ
2 - 0
IDN
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
NEZ
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Toros México
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 2
TOM
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TOM
3 - 3
HFC
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 1
NEZ
12%
19%
69%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | 0 |