Liga de Balompié Mexicano Final
Global 2-4
Neza vs Río Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+529%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
RGO
4 - 0
NEZ
13%
19%
69%
|
50 | 13 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NEZ
2 - 1
TOM
83%
12%
6%
|
50 | 8 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
TOM
2 - 6
NEZ
13%
20%
68%
|
50 | 8 | 42 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
NEZ
2 - 1
TOM
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 8 | 42 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IDN
1 - 2
NEZ
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Río Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
RGO
4 - 0
NEZ
13%
19%
69%
|
13 | 50 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
RGO
81%
13%
7%
|
11 | 64 | 53 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
RGO
1 - 1
CHA
15%
21%
64%
|
11 | 64 | 53 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
MDO
5 - 5
RGO
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
IPE
1 - 2
RGO
30%
22%
49%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |