Neza vs Chapulineros de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
48.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 3
NEZ
43%
23%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
NEZ
4 - 3
IDN
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NEZ
1 - 0
MDO
77%
15%
9%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
FUR
1 - 1
NEZ
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
NEZ
8 - 0
IDA
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Chapulineros de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 3
MDO
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
FUR
0 - 2
CHA
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
6 - 0
IDA
79%
14%
6%
|
64 | 28 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
HAQ
2 - 5
CHA
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
IDN
0 - 4
CHA
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |