Newtown vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
CAE
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
FLI
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
TNS
0 - 1
NEW
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
TNS
7 - 0
FLI
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
TNS
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
TNS
48%
24%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 3
TNS
35%
24%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
TNS
0 - 1
NEW
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |