Newtown vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
NEW
6 - 0
CEF
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 2
NEW
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
BAN
3 - 0
NEW
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
TNS
4 - 1
NEW
59%
22%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 5
TNS
13%
18%
69%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
TNS
0 - 0
CON
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
TNS
2 - 0
DEN
87%
9%
4%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
TNS
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
TNS
4 - 1
NEW
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |