Newtown vs Port Talbot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 2
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 2
ABE
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 2
NEW
56%
22%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 1
LID
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 2
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
AIR
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAN
3 - 1
POR
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
NEA
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |