Newtown vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 3
NEW
40%
26%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
5 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CON
0 - 0
NEW
48%
24%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
TNS
38%
25%
38%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
HAV
50%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PON
0 - 3
PEN
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 3
PEN
22%
25%
52%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
PEN
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
5 - 0
COL
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |