Newtown vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
NEW
55%
21%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
BAN
3 - 0
NEW
83%
11%
6%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAL
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 2
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TNS
0 - 1
NEW
83%
12%
6%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 6
TNS
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 6
CON
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
LLA
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PRE
3 - 1
LLA
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 1
POR
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |