Newtown vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 1
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
PRE
0 - 0
NEW
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NEW
4 - 0
ABE
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
NEW
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 1
NEW
49%
23%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HOL
2 - 0
POR
54%
20%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 3
HOL
12%
16%
72%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
HOL
2 - 2
GRE
67%
17%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
HOL
3 - 1
CAE
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
RTW
4 - 4
HOL
28%
22%
51%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |