Newtown vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 0
NEW
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NEW
4 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
CEF
2 - 4
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CON
2 - 1
NEW
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
HAV
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
HAV
2 - 1
TNS
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
HAV
2 - 1
BAR
24%
26%
49%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |