Newtown vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 0
CEF
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
FLI
0 - 2
NEW
27%
26%
48%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 1
HAV
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
NEW
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 2
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
HAV
0 - 0
FLI
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
FLI
0 - 2
NEW
27%
26%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 1
FLI
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
FLI
5 - 0
CEF
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
FLI
2 - 0
CAR
29%
27%
45%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |