Newtown vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 2
BAL
28%
25%
48%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAR
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 0
NEW
86%
10%
4%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 1
NEW
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
4 - 1
CEF
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
FLI
1 - 2
BAL
12%
20%
68%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 1
FLI
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FLI
0 - 2
HAV
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TNS
10 - 0
FLI
91%
7%
2%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CAE
2 - 1
FLI
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |