Newtown vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 3
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 0
ABE
42%
24%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 4
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 3
BAL
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
POR
0 - 4
CON
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
CON
5 - 3
CAE
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
ABE
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
CON
71%
17%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
CON
1 - 3
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |