Newtown vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RHY
2 - 2
NEW
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
6 - 3
ABE
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TNS
1 - 1
NEW
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NEW
4 - 1
CEF
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CON
0 - 1
BAL
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
CON
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
CON
1 - 3
RHY
40%
24%
37%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
CON
1 - 5
TNS
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |