Newtown vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 1
PRE
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
NEW
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NEW
3 - 3
LID
60%
21%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
NEW
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AIR
6 - 1
NEW
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 3
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
BAN
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
RHY
2 - 0
CON
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ABE
3 - 3
CON
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
CON
0 - 4
TNS
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |