Newtown vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
NEW
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NEW
3 - 2
BAN
15%
20%
65%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
4 - 4
NEW
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LID
1 - 1
NEW
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CON
3 - 1
LLA
16%
22%
63%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
POR
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 1
CON
87%
9%
3%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 4
CON
11%
18%
71%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
CEF
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |