Newtown vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
TNS
4 - 0
NEW
72%
17%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 1
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 2
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 1
CAR
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 1
LLA
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 5
BAR
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CEF
0 - 3
TNS
14%
21%
65%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
TNS
7 - 0
CEF
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 2
CEF
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 2
CON
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |