Newtown vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 0
CAE
43%
22%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FLI
4 - 1
NEW
29%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
6 - 1
BFC
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 0
CEF
80%
14%
7%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
RIS
85%
11%
5%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
CAM
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CWM
1 - 1
CAR
14%
21%
65%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
TRE
85%
10%
5%
|
44 | 8 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
SUF
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |