Newtown vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
AIR
3 - 1
NEW
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
TNS
3 - 2
NEW
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
NEW
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
ABE
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
NEW
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
NEW
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
POR
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
LID
5 - 1
CAR
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AIR
3 - 1
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |