Newtown vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
6º
4º
39
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 0
NEW
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 5
BAL
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 3
CON
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
TNS
3 - 0
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TNS
3 - 1
NEW
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TNS
4 - 0
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 2
COL
68%
19%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAE
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAR
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |