Newtown vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
NEW
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 0
BAL
49%
23%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 0
NEW
28%
26%
47%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
LLA
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
CEF
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAR
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 4
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |