Newtown vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FLI
1 - 0
NEW
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
CAE
3 - 1
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 2
BAL
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
TNS
1 - 2
NEW
82%
12%
6%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 0
AIR
68%
19%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 1
PEN
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
CAE
3 - 1
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
CAE
4 - 0
CEF
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAE
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
CON
4 - 0
CAE
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |