Newtown vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
ABE
5 - 3
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 0
PRE
71%
16%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
NEW
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 2
ABE
61%
20%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 0
CEF
38%
25%
36%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 2
CAE
10%
16%
75%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 5
CAE
4%
11%
85%
|
50 | 13 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 2
CAE
5%
11%
84%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
RTW
0 - 4
CAE
14%
18%
68%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |