Newtown vs Bangor City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
64.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
4 - 4
NEW
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LID
1 - 1
NEW
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ABE
3 - 2
NEW
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 2
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
LID
1 - 6
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 1
CON
87%
9%
3%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
ZIM
2 - 1
BAN
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 0
ZIM
42%
24%
34%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TNS
5 - 0
BAN
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
NEA
1 - 3
BAN
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |