League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 6-2
Newtown vs Bangor City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
70%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
NEW
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
LID
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
PRE
34%
23%
43%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 4
AIR
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 1
NEW
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
NEW
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
BAN
18%
22%
61%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 1
BAN
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 1
PRE
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
PRE
0 - 5
BAN
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |