Newtown vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AIR
2 - 2
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 2
CON
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
LLA
3 - 2
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TNS
1 - 2
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 2
BAL
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
AIR
0 - 2
TNS
37%
23%
40%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AIR
2 - 2
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AIR
3 - 2
TNS
39%
25%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
AIR
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
POR
0 - 7
AIR
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +4 |