Newtown vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TNS
1 - 0
NEW
64%
20%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 1
LLA
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 6
TNS
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
NEW
6 - 0
CEF
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AIR
3 - 0
BAL
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TNS
5 - 0
AIR
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AIR
0 - 1
CON
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
AIR
3 - 0
GUI
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
AIR
0 - 3
BAL
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |