Newtown vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 2
RHY
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 2
NEW
8%
16%
76%
|
60 | 26 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 2
NEW
22%
23%
56%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
NEW
3 - 0
HAV
73%
17%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 1
TNS
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 2
AIR
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 2
AIR
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 4
BAN
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
AIR
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |