Newtown vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 0
LLA
13%
21%
66%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 1
BAN
11%
19%
70%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
POR
3 - 0
NEW
64%
22%
15%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
4 - 1
NEW
47%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
TNS
4 - 0
NEW
87%
9%
3%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 0
AIR
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
ABE
2 - 1
AIR
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 4
PRE
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 2
AIR
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
AIR
1 - 1
BAN
17%
21%
62%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |