Newtown vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CON
0 - 2
NEW
57%
21%
22%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 1
BAL
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ABE
0 - 0
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
LID
2 - 1
NEW
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 1
NEW
70%
17%
13%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
LID
0 - 0
ABE
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
LID
69%
18%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
4 - 0
LID
70%
18%
13%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LID
2 - 1
CON
29%
24%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
LID
2 - 1
NEW
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |