Newtown vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
BAN
4 - 0
NEW
80%
14%
7%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 4
NEA
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LLA
9 - 2
NEW
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 2
PRE
30%
24%
45%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
POR
3 - 1
NEW
58%
24%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
LID
0 - 0
ABE
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
LID
1 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 0
LID
87%
10%
3%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LID
0 - 0
AIR
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BAN
4 - 1
LID
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |