Newtown vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
CON
0 - 4
NEW
51%
23%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 0
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAL
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
ABE
3 - 3
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 3
CON
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 1
AIR
21%
25%
54%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
PRE
2 - 2
ABE
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
ABE
3 - 3
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AIR
4 - 1
ABE
72%
18%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
BAN
3 - 2
ABE
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |