Newtown vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
NEW
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
5 - 1
BAN
13%
18%
70%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
NEW
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
LID
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
PRE
34%
23%
43%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AIR
3 - 2
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 1
CEF
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
POR
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ABE
2 - 2
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 0
LID
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |