Newry City vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
AUN
0 - 3
NEW
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
DUN
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 0
NEW
42%
26%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
WAR
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 3
BAL
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 0
QUB
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 0
LOU
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LOU
4 - 0
HAR
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
LOU
6 - 2
LIS
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
KNO
1 - 6
LOU
20%
22%
59%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | +1 |