Newry City vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.1%
+1
5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.5%
75.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
19.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
27.2%
0-2
19%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ARD
3 - 1
NEW
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CLI
1 - 0
NEW
74%
16%
9%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
GLE
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 2
WAR
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 2
LIN
8%
20%
73%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAL
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 1
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LIN
3 - 2
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 2
CRU
45%
23%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
LIN
4 - 2
GLE
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |