Newry City vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
63.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
WAR
0 - 2
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
3 - 1
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LIM
1 - 0
NEW
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
3 - 0
BAN
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 0
BAN
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 1
CLI
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 1
POR
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 3
LIN
15%
21%
64%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LIN
4 - 0
DON
74%
17%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LIN
4 - 1
CAR
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |