Newry City vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 1
NEW
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
NEW
0 - 0
GLE
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
CLI
1 - 0
NEW
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
NEW
3 - 0
DUN
41%
26%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
NEW
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LIN
1 - 0
COL
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LIN
1 - 0
LIS
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
DUN
2 - 1
LIN
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
LIN
0 - 0
BAL
74%
18%
9%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
RBK
2 - 0
LIN
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |