Newry City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 1
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
GLE
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
INS
1 - 3
NEW
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAN
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 4
NEW
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
DUN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 0
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
INS
1 - 3
NEW
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
INS
1 - 1
GLE
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
INS
4 - 0
BAN
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |