Newry City vs Harland & Wolff Welders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
NEW
35%
25%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 0
NEW
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 0
POR
66%
20%
13%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CLI
2 - 0
NEW
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CRU
4 - 0
NEW
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 1
LOU
20%
23%
56%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 3
HAR
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 2
DER
41%
24%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
NEY
2 - 1
HAR
64%
20%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DER
2 - 3
HAR
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |