Newry City vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
3º
2º
51
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 5 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 5 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
CLI
9%
21%
70%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
7 - 0
NEW
76%
17%
7%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 4
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
3 - 2
BAL
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 1
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
GLE
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 1
COL
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 0
GLE
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |