Newry City vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
10º
10º
39
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 2
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
NEW
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 0
LAR
12%
22%
66%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 0
GLE
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 2
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
GLE
14%
19%
67%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
3 - 0
GLE
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |