Newry City vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
10º
10º
23
11º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
NEW
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 0
LAR
12%
22%
66%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
NEW
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 3
GLE
16%
25%
59%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 3
LAR
12%
22%
66%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 0
DUN
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KNO
1 - 2
DUN
24%
22%
54%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 3
COL
13%
23%
64%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
6 - 0
DUN
75%
16%
8%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |