Newry City vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
INS
2 - 1
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 2
GLE
26%
26%
47%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
WAR
2 - 4
NEW
68%
18%
13%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 0
ARD
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
ARD
1 - 0
DUN
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
WAR
5 - 3
DUN
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 2
GLE
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 5
LIN
17%
24%
58%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |