Newry City vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
NEW
2 - 1
LAR
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
GLE
0 - 1
NEW
72%
18%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
CRU
34%
27%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 2
BAL
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
COL
3 - 0
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
DUN
6 - 0
MFC
85%
10%
5%
|
58 | 7 | 51 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
CLI
1 - 0
DUN
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
DUN
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
4 - 0
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
GLE
0 - 0
DUN
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |